Predicted Edge

Alaves v Atletico Madrid

AlavesAlaves won 2 of the last 56thAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid won 4 of the last 52nd

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Alaves and Atletico Madrid
Alaves Atletico Madrid
7Played7
3-2-2W-D-L5-1-1
1.57Pts / game2.29
1.57Goals for / game2.29
0.86Goals against / game1.00
43%Over 2.586%
43%BTTS43%
43%Clean sheets43%
29%Failed to score14%
3-0-1Home record3-1-0
0-2-1Away record2-0-1
D1StreakW3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Alaves · Atletico Madrid

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
8.5Shots19.3
1.5Shots on target8.3
1.5Corners4.7
0.50Cards1.33
10.0Fouls11.7
37Possession %58
0.55xG2.80
2 matchessample3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.0Shots6.3
4.5Shots on target2.3
5.0Corners3.3
3.00Cards3.00
14.0Fouls10.3
63Possession %42
1.14xG0.35
2 matchessample3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
AlavesMetricAtletico Madrid
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Alaves wins
0
Draws
1
Atletico Madrid wins
1
Goals / game
1.50
Over 2.5
0%
Both score
50%
La Liga table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Barcelona7700+2421Barcelona won 5 of the last 5
2Atletico Madrid7511+916Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 5
3Real Betis7511+216Real Betis won 3 of the last 5
4Real Madrid7502+1015Real Madrid won 3 of the last 5
5Sevilla7412+113Sevilla won 2 of the last 5
6Alaves7322+511Alaves won 2 of the last 5
7Deportivo La Coruna7241+210Deportivo La Coruna won 2 of the last 5
8Real Sociedad7313-410Real Sociedad won 3 of the last 5
9Villarreal7223+18Villarreal won 2 of the last 5
10Athletic Club6222+18Athletic Club won 2 of the last 5
11Getafe7223-38Getafe won 1 of the last 5
12Rayo Vallecano7223-58Rayo Vallecano won 2 of the last 5
13Osasuna7223-78Osasuna won 1 of the last 5
14Celta Vigo7142+27Celta Vigo won 1 of the last 5
15Espanyol721407Espanyol won 1 of the last 5
16Racing Santander7214-107Racing Santander won 2 of the last 5
17Levante6123-45Levante won 1 of the last 5
18Elche7124-65Elche won 1 of the last 5
19Valencia7115-94Valencia won 1 of the last 5
20Malaga7034-93Malaga won 0 of the last 5