Ajax v
Willem II
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Ajax | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7-4-1 | W-D-L | 0-3-9 |
| 2.08 | Pts / game | 0.25 |
| 2.67 | Goals for / game | 0.92 |
| 1.25 | Goals against / game | 3.33 |
| 75% | Over 2.5 | 75% |
| 75% | BTTS | 75% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 25% |
| 2-3-1 | Home record | 0-2-4 |
| 5-1-0 | Away record | 0-1-5 |
| D1 | Streak | D1 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Ajax · Willem II
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 12.8 | Shots | 10.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | Shots on target | 2.8 |
| 2.8 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 2.40 | Cards | 1.80 |
| 11.0 | Fouls | 11.0 |
| 51 | Possession % | 43 |
| 1.56 | xG | 1.01 |
| 5 matches | sample | 5 matches |
Conceded
| 15.4 | Shots | 19.8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 7.2 |
| 6.6 | Corners | 6.4 |
| 1.80 | Cards | 1.20 |
| 12.4 | Fouls | 10.4 |
| 49 | Possession % | 57 |
| 1.84 | xG | 2.07 |
| 5 matches | sample | 5 matches |
Form comparison
| Ajax | Metric | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Ajax wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Willem II wins
- 0
- Goals / game
- 6.00
- Over 2.5
- 100%
- Both score
- 100%
- Ajax v Willem II5–12026-09-15
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 26 | PSV Eindhoven won 3 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 25 | Feyenoord won 2 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 25 | Ajax won 3 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 24 | Twente won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 | AZ Alkmaar won 1 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 | Heerenveen won 4 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | Fortuna Sittard won 1 of the last 5 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 17 | GO Ahead Eagles won 2 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 15 | Groningen won 1 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 | Cambuur won 3 of the last 5 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 | NEC Nijmegen won 1 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 12 | Sparta Rotterdam won 2 of the last 5 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 | PEC Zwolle won 2 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 12 | Utrecht won 2 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 11 | Excelsior won 0 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 | Telstar won 1 of the last 5 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 | ADO Den Haag won 2 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -29 | 3 | Willem II won 0 of the last 5 |