France
Coupe de France predictions
Every Coupe de France match in the next 14 days with the model's probabilities, the likeliest score and one headline call, published at least 24 hours before kick-off. The table, team statistics and results are on the Coupe de France page.
89 matches in the next 14 days, every one with a forecast published. The strongest favourite is Reims, 60% against Tourcoing away; the most evenly balanced game is Chambéry v Grenoble (Chambéry 36%, draw 27%, Grenoble 36%); the fixture expected to produce most goals is Dijon v Orleans, at 4.30.
Every match, one prediction
Today
Tomorrow
Sat 14 Nov
Sun 15 Nov
Match by match
Chambéry v GrenobleThu 12 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Chambéry 36%, the draw 27% and Grenoble 36%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.69 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. Grenoble are 17th on 11 points from 12. Grenoble have won one of their last five.
Dijon v OrleansFri 13 Nov, 19:00
Our model makes Dijon 31%, the draw 20% and Orleans 49%. The likeliest score is 1-2 (7%), 4.30 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 78%. The headline call is over 3.5 goals at 62%. Dijon are 6th on 18 points from 12. Dijon have won three of their last five.
St-Philbert Gd Lieu v La Roche VFFri 13 Nov, 19:00
Our model makes St-Philbert Gd Lieu 30%, the draw 25% and La Roche VF 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.94 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
La Neuvillette v ValenciennesFri 13 Nov, 19:00
Our model makes La Neuvillette 30%, the draw 25% and Valenciennes 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Tourcoing v ReimsSat 14 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Tourcoing 19%, the draw 22% and Reims 60%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.18 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is Reims to win at 60%. Reims are 4th on 21 points from 12. Reims have won two of their last five.
Le Puy Foot v Diables NoirsSat 14 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Le Puy Foot 35%, the draw 28% and Diables Noirs 37%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.55 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%. The headline call is Diables Noirs to win at 37%.
Versailles v RodezSat 14 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Versailles 29%, the draw 24% and Rodez 47%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.21 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%. The headline call is Rodez to win at 47%. Rodez are 13th on 13 points from 12. Rodez have won two of their last five.
Balagne v MontpellierSat 14 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Balagne 18%, the draw 25% and Montpellier 57%. The likeliest score is 0-1 (12%), 2.63 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 49%. The headline call is Montpellier to win at 57%. Montpellier are 3rd on 24 points from 12. Montpellier have won four of their last five.
Boulay v SochauxSat 14 Nov, 13:30
Our model makes Boulay 35%, the draw 27% and Sochaux 38%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.69 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. The headline call is both teams to score at 55%. Sochaux are 16th on 11 points from 12. Sochaux are without a win in five (one draw, four defeats).
Rhone-Crussol v Fréjus St-RaphaëlSat 14 Nov, 14:00
Our model makes Rhone-Crussol 31%, the draw 26% and Fréjus St-Raphaël 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Vendée Fontenay v Clermont FootSat 14 Nov, 15:00
Our model makes Vendée Fontenay 36%, the draw 27% and Clermont Foot 37%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.72 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%. Clermont Foot are 15th on 11 points from 12. Clermont Foot have won one of their last five.
Choisy au Bac v CaenSat 14 Nov, 15:00
Our model makes Choisy au Bac 30%, the draw 23% and Caen 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.49 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%. The headline call is Caen to win at 48%.
Chalon v Hauts LyonnaisSat 14 Nov, 15:00
Our model makes Chalon 32%, the draw 26% and Hauts Lyonnais 41%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.78 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is both teams to score at 57%.
Le Poiré sur Vie v USSA VertouSat 14 Nov, 16:00
Our model makes Le Poiré sur Vie 31%, the draw 26% and USSA Vertou 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.84 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Croix Football IC v ThaonSat 14 Nov, 16:00
Our model makes Croix Football IC 28%, the draw 24% and Thaon 48%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.08 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is Thaon to win at 48%.
St Sebastien v La Baule-Le PouliguenSat 14 Nov, 16:00
Our model makes St Sebastien 31%, the draw 26% and La Baule-Le Pouliguen 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Cheruy v Bourg-en-bresse 01Sat 14 Nov, 16:00
Our model makes Cheruy 34%, the draw 25% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 41%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.08 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%. The headline call is both teams to score at 62%.
Firminy v AnnecySat 14 Nov, 16:00
Our model makes Firminy 29%, the draw 25% and Annecy 46%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.92 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is Annecy to win at 46%. Annecy are 9th on 16 points from 12. Annecy have won two of their last five.
Tinteniac v ConcarneauSat 14 Nov, 16:00
Our model makes Tinteniac 29%, the draw 24% and Concarneau 46%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.09 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%. The headline call is Concarneau to win at 46%.
Koetzingue v BiesheimSat 14 Nov, 16:30
Our model makes Koetzingue 33%, the draw 26% and Biesheim 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.93 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Dunkerque v QuevillySat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Dunkerque 35%, the draw 25% and Quevilly 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.11 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%. Dunkerque are 10th on 15 points from 12. Dunkerque have won two of their last five.
Châteaubriant v Horizon PathoSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Châteaubriant 31%, the draw 26% and Horizon Patho 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Lyon Duchere v FeursSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Lyon Duchere 33%, the draw 25% and Feurs 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.15 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%.
Cheminots Paray v VillefrancheSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Cheminots Paray 31%, the draw 26% and Villefranche 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.90 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Pontivy GSI v TA RennesSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Pontivy GSI 35%, the draw 26% and TA Rennes 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.92 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Saint-Omer v VireSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Saint-Omer 31%, the draw 26% and Vire 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.90 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Vitré v Saint-Pierre MilizacSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Vitré 31%, the draw 26% and Saint-Pierre Milizac 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.89 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Caen PTT v Chambly Thelle FCSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Caen PTT 30%, the draw 25% and Chambly Thelle FC 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Cournon v Chassieu DécinesSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Cournon 31%, the draw 26% and Chassieu Décines 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Le Touquet v AvranchesSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Le Touquet 35%, the draw 26% and Avranches 39%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Racing Besançon v APM MetzSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Racing Besançon 34%, the draw 26% and APM Metz 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.92 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
St Ouen l'Aumône v BoulogneSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes St Ouen l'Aumône 30%, the draw 29% and Boulogne 41%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (14%), 2.38 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%. The headline call is under 2.5 goals at 57%. Boulogne are 12th on 13 points from 12. Boulogne have won two of their last five.
Saint-Brieuc v RouenSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Saint-Brieuc 32%, the draw 27% and Rouen 41%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.76 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%.
Stade Béthunois v NancySat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Stade Béthunois 25%, the draw 25% and Nancy 50%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%. The headline call is Nancy to win at 50%. Nancy are 2nd on 25 points from 12. Nancy have won all of their last five.
ASPTT Dijon v SelongeySat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes ASPTT Dijon 31%, the draw 26% and Selongey 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.87 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Contres v Linas-MontlherySat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Contres 31%, the draw 26% and Linas-Montlhery 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Grau-du-Roi v RivieraSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Grau-du-Roi 30%, the draw 26% and Riviera 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen v OberlauterbachSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 30%, the draw 25% and Oberlauterbach 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.02 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%.
Vesoul v Fleury 91Sat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Vesoul 30%, the draw 25% and Fleury 91 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.06 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is Fleury 91 to win at 45%.
Amnéville v SundhoffenSat 14 Nov, 17:00
Our model makes Amnéville 31%, the draw 26% and Sundhoffen 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Balma v CastanetSat 14 Nov, 17:30
Our model makes Balma 31%, the draw 26% and Castanet 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Brive v AngoulêmeSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Brive 32%, the draw 26% and Angoulême 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.83 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Chauny v Le Pays du ValoisSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Chauny 31%, the draw 26% and Le Pays du Valois 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Stade Bordelais v MazeresSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Stade Bordelais 31%, the draw 25% and Mazeres 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.99 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.
Bressuire v ChallansSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Bressuire 32%, the draw 26% and Challans 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Lannion v GuingampSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Lannion 31%, the draw 25% and Guingamp 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%. Guingamp are 11th on 14 points from 12. Guingamp have won two of their last five.
Lourdes v PAUSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Lourdes 29%, the draw 24% and PAU 46%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.17 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is PAU to win at 46%. PAU are 5th on 20 points from 12. PAU have won four of their last five.
Buxerolles v SabléSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Buxerolles 31%, the draw 26% and Sablé 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.84 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
CPB Brequigny v MontluçonSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes CPB Brequigny 31%, the draw 26% and Montluçon 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Boulazac v Anglet GenetsSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Boulazac 31%, the draw 26% and Anglet Genets 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Claira/Laurent v PuissaliconSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Claira/Laurent 31%, the draw 26% and Puissalicon 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Avenir Foot Lozère v Entente Crest-AousteSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Avenir Foot Lozère 31%, the draw 26% and Entente Crest-Aouste 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Macaire v NueillaubiersSat 14 Nov, 18:00
Our model makes Macaire 31%, the draw 26% and Nueillaubiers 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.85 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
OM Cambrai v AmiensSat 14 Nov, 19:00
Our model makes OM Cambrai 40%, the draw 25% and Amiens 35%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.16 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%.
Tefana v Thionville LusitanosSun 15 Nov, 04:00
Our model makes Tefana 33%, the draw 26% and Thionville Lusitanos 41%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.
Massay v MontlouisSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Massay 31%, the draw 26% and Montlouis 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Verson v RC CalaisSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Verson 31%, the draw 26% and RC Calais 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.91 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Kellermann v MetzSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Kellermann 35%, the draw 25% and Metz 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.11 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%. Metz are 7th on 17 points from 12. Metz have won two of their last five.
Saint-Renan v LavalSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Saint-Renan 33%, the draw 25% and Laval 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 3.03 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is both teams to score at 61%. Laval are 18th on 9 points from 12. Laval have won one of their last five.
Yerres Crosne v Union CosnoiseSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Yerres Crosne 31%, the draw 26% and Union Cosnoise 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Violaines v US VermellesSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Violaines 31%, the draw 26% and US Vermelles 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Castelbourgeois v NantesSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Castelbourgeois 35%, the draw 28% and Nantes 37%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (13%), 2.61 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 54%. The headline call is Nantes to win at 37%. Nantes are 14th on 12 points from 12. Nantes have won one of their last five.
FC 2 Rives 82 v TrélissacSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes FC 2 Rives 82 32%, the draw 26% and Trélissac 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.84 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Tatinghem v Racing Colombes 92Sun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Tatinghem 31%, the draw 25% and Racing Colombes 92 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.95 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.
OCPAM v Olympique MarcquoisSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes OCPAM 26%, the draw 24% and Olympique Marcquois 50%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.03 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is Olympique Marcquois to win at 50%.
SAG Cestas v BayonneSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes SAG Cestas 34%, the draw 26% and Bayonne 40%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.90 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Chatou v Les UlisSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Chatou 31%, the draw 25% and Les Ulis 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.93 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Montigny v PontarlierSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Montigny 31%, the draw 25% and Pontarlier 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.99 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.
Tremblay v Maisons AlfortSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Tremblay 31%, the draw 26% and Maisons Alfort 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Vandœuvre v EpinalSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Vandœuvre 31%, the draw 25% and Epinal 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.96 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. The headline call is both teams to score at 60%.
Gobelins v RED Star FC 93Sun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Gobelins 30%, the draw 26% and RED Star FC 93 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.87 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%. RED Star FC 93 are 8th on 17 points from 12. RED Star FC 93 have won one of their last five.
Sedan v Bourges Foot 18Sun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Sedan 31%, the draw 26% and Bourges Foot 18 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Pays Neslois v Furiani-AglianiSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Pays Neslois 33%, the draw 25% and Furiani-Agliani 42%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.13 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%. The headline call is both teams to score at 63%.
Riom v LimonestSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Riom 31%, the draw 26% and Limonest 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Stade Pontivy v Stade PlabennecSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Stade Pontivy 30%, the draw 26% and Stade Plabennec 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.90 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Marseille Endoume v ToulonSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Marseille Endoume 31%, the draw 26% and Toulon 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Seyssinet-Pariset v NimesSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Seyssinet-Pariset 29%, the draw 26% and Nimes 45%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.78 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%. The headline call is both teams to score at 56%.
Senlis v St-Pryvé St-HilaireSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Senlis 31%, the draw 26% and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Rochefort v Juventus PapusSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Rochefort 31%, the draw 26% and Juventus Papus 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Veauche v Saint Paul en JarezSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Veauche 31%, the draw 26% and Saint Paul en Jarez 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Metz ESAP v ReipertswillerSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Metz ESAP 31%, the draw 26% and Reipertswiller 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
RC Chambery v NiortSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes RC Chambery 30%, the draw 23% and Niort 47%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.48 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%. The headline call is Niort to win at 47%.
Talange v Baume DamesSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes Talange 31%, the draw 26% and Baume Dames 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
US Montreuil-sur-Mer v Loon-PlageSun 15 Nov, 13:00
Our model makes US Montreuil-sur-Mer 30%, the draw 26% and Loon-Plage 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.88 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Sottevillais v FecampSun 15 Nov, 13:30
Our model makes Sottevillais 31%, the draw 26% and Fecamp 43%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.86 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. The headline call is both teams to score at 58%.
Perros-Louannec v VannesSun 15 Nov, 13:30
Our model makes Perros-Louannec 31%, the draw 26% and Vannes 44%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (12%), 2.93 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is both teams to score at 59%.
Saint-Pauloise v La TamponnaiseSun 15 Nov, 13:45
Our model makes Saint-Pauloise 26%, the draw 24% and La Tamponnaise 49%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.00 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is La Tamponnaise to win at 49%.
Rumilly Vallières v Saint EtienneSun 15 Nov, 14:00
Our model makes Rumilly Vallières 20%, the draw 22% and Saint Etienne 58%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (10%), 3.15 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 59%. The headline call is Saint Etienne to win at 58%. Saint Etienne are 1st on 28 points from 12. Saint Etienne have won four of their last five.
Atlas Paillade v CannesSun 15 Nov, 14:00
Our model makes Atlas Paillade 27%, the draw 24% and Cannes 49%. The likeliest score is 1-1 (11%), 3.11 goals are expected, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%. The headline call is Cannes to win at 49%.
About these predictions
- How are Coupe de France predictions made?
- A Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model rates every side's attack and defence from recent results and expected goals, with home advantage estimated from this season's matches, and turns the two sides' ratings into a probability for every scoreline. Match result, total goals and both teams to score are all summed from that one distribution, so they cannot contradict each other.
- When are Coupe de France predictions published?
- At least 24 hours before kick-off and up to eight days ahead, as soon as both sides' recent form is on record. Nothing is edited or removed after kick-off; the dated pages keep every forecast as it was published.
The method in full is under how it works; the model is explained on its own page. A high probability is not a certainty: a 70% call is expected to be wrong three times in ten.