Predicted Edge

Amnéville v Sundhoffen

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%
Both score
58%
Model pick
Sundhoffen 43%
Likely score
1-1 12%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.57

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Every market, priced — members only

11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Sundhoffen favoured against Amnéville

Our model makes Amnéville 31% to win this Coupe de France fixture, with the draw at 26% and Sundhoffen at 43%. The goal projection is 1.29 for Amnéville against 1.57 for Sundhoffen — a clear edge to Sundhoffen on expected output. A combined 2.86 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 12%
1-2 9%
0-1 8%
2-1 7%
0-2 7%

This season

Season records for Amnéville and Sundhoffen
Amnéville Sundhoffen
—Played—
—W-D-L—
—Pts / game—
—Goals for / game—
—Goals against / game—
—Over 2.5—
—BTTS—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
—Home record—
—Away record—
—Streak—

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Amnéville · Sundhoffen

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
AmnévilleMetricSundhoffen
0.60 (better)Goals scored0.00
4.40Goals conceded3.00 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

No previous meetings on record.