WSG Wattens v 
Austria Vienna
- Over 1.5
- 78%
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- Over 3.5
- 32%
- Both score
- 58%
- Model pick
- WSG Wattens 38%
- Likely score
- 1-1 12%
- Expected goals
- 1.43 – 1.40
Advised bets
Members only
Edge strength 5 of 5Model pick: Asian handicap
Members see the selection itself, the advised price and bookmaker, the stake in units and the reasoning, from the moment it is published. Once the day is over it is published here for everyone, with its outcome. Membership is £4.99 a month, cancel any time.
Our probabilities against the market
MembersEvery market, priced — members only
11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
WSG Wattens v Austria Vienna: too close to call
Our model makes WSG Wattens 38% to win this Austrian Bundesliga fixture, with the draw at 26% and Austria Vienna at 36%. The goal projection is 1.43 for WSG Wattens against 1.40 for Austria Vienna — almost nothing to WSG Wattens on expected output. A combined 2.83 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 1-1 12%
- 2-1 8%
- 1-2 8%
- 1-0 8%
- 0-1 8%
This season
| WSG Wattens | Austria Vienna | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3-3-5 | W-D-L | 2-1-8 |
| 1.09 | Pts / game | 0.64 |
| 1.27 | Goals for / game | 0.91 |
| 1.55 | Goals against / game | 2.00 |
| 64% | Over 2.5 | 55% |
| 55% | BTTS | 45% |
| 27% | Clean sheets | 9% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 45% |
| 0-3-2 | Home record | 1-0-4 |
| 3-0-3 | Away record | 1-1-4 |
| L1 | Streak | L4 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. WSG Wattens · Austria Vienna
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 17.3 | Shots | 13.8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Shots on target | 2.8 |
| 5.0 | Corners | 6.3 |
| 2.25 | Cards | 1.25 |
| 12.3 | Fouls | 9.0 |
| 54 | Possession % | 58 |
| 1.21 | xG | 1.54 |
| 4 matches | sample | 4 matches |
Conceded
| 14.5 | Shots | 12.3 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | Shots on target | 6.3 |
| 6.3 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.00 | Cards | 2.50 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 46 | Possession % | 43 |
| 1.85 | xG | 2.16 |
| 4 matches | sample | 4 matches |
Form comparison
| WSG Wattens | Metric | Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 (better) | Goals scored | 2.00 |
| 1.00 (better) | Goals conceded | 1.80 |
| 1.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 (better) |
| Big chances | ||
| 6.67 (better) | Shots on target | 2.33 |
| 19.67 (better) | Total shots | 13.00 |
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| 6.00 | Corners | 6.33 (better) |
| 56.7 | Possession % | 57.0 (better) |
| 495 (better) | Passes | 438 |
| Tackles | ||
| 10.67 | Fouls | 7.67 (better) |
| 0.67 (better) | Offsides | 1.33 |
| Throw-ins | ||
| 1.33 | Yellow cards | 1.00 (better) |
| Red cards | 0.00 |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- WSG Wattens wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Austria Vienna wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 2.00
- Over 2.5
- 33%
- Both score
- 33%
- Austria Vienna v WSG Wattens0–12026-09-02
- Austria Vienna v WSG Wattens0–02025-11-29
- WSG Wattens v Austria Vienna2–32025-10-18
Austrian Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | +30 | 33 | Rapid Vienna won 5 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +23 | 27 | Red Bull Salzburg won 4 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +13 | 22 | Lask Linz won 2 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 | Sturm Graz won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | TSV Hartberg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 | TSV Hartberg won 3 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Ried | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 | Ried won 3 of the last 5 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 | WSG Wattens won 1 of the last 5 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 10 | SCR Altach won 2 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -19 | 10 | Grazer AK won 0 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 8 | Austria Lustenau won 1 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 | Austria Vienna won 0 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -18 | 6 | Wolfsberger AC won 0 of the last 5 |