Predicted Edge

USA v Japan

2–0USAUSA won 2 of the last 5JapanJapan won 5 of the last 5

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the marketFree

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for USA and Japan
USA Japan
5Played5
2-0-3W-D-L5-0-0
1.20Pts / game3.00
2.00Goals for / game1.60
2.40Goals against / game0.40
80%Over 2.540%
80%BTTS40%
0%Clean sheets60%
20%Failed to score0%
2-0-3Home record3-0-0
0-0-0Away record2-0-0
W1StreakW5

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. USA · Japan

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
16.0Shots7.5
6.0Shots on target3.0
5.0Corners0.5
2.00Cards1.50
16.0Fouls14.0
70Possession %51
—xG—
1 matchessample2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
5.0Shots8.5
2.0Shots on target5.5
2.0Corners4.0
4.00Cards2.50
17.0Fouls15.0
30Possession %50
—xG—
1 matchessample2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
USAMetricJapan
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

USA wins
1
Draws
0
Japan wins
0
Goals / game
2.00
Over 2.5
0%
Both score
0%