Stoke City v Birmingham

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Stoke City and Birmingham
Stoke City		Birmingham
15	Played	15
9-2-4	W-D-L	8-5-2
1.93	Pts / game	1.93
1.60	Goals for / game	1.87
1.20	Goals against / game	0.93
67%	Over 2.5	73%
67%	BTTS	60%
33%	Clean sheets	33%
7%	Failed to score	13%
4-1-2	Home record	4-4-0
5-1-2	Away record	4-1-2
W3	Streak	W3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Stoke City · Birmingham

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
10.6	Shots	15.4
3.4	Shots on target	5.9
4.9	Corners	5.0
2.14	Cards	2.00
11.3	Fouls	11.5
48	Possession %	54
0.94	xG	1.85
8 matches	sample	8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
13.5	Shots	12.3
3.3	Shots on target	3.3
5.9	Corners	3.8
2.13	Cards	1.66
12.5	Fouls	10.1
52	Possession %	46
1.33	xG	1.38
8 matches	sample	8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Stoke City	Metric	Birmingham
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Stoke City wins: 1
Draws: 1
Birmingham wins: 0
Goals / game: 1.50
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 50%

Birmingham v Stoke City1–12026-01-24
Stoke City v Birmingham1–02025-09-13

Championship table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29	Birmingham won 4 of the last 5
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29	Middlesbrough won 2 of the last 5
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29	Stoke City won 4 of the last 5
4	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	28	Southampton won 2 of the last 5
5	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28	Wolves won 3 of the last 5
6	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28	West Brom won 3 of the last 5
7	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26	Swansea won 1 of the last 5
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24	QPR won 2 of the last 5
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23	West Ham won 1 of the last 5
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22	Sheffield Utd won 3 of the last 5
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22	Portsmouth won 2 of the last 5
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21	Norwich won 4 of the last 5
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21	Blackburn won 2 of the last 5
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18	Cardiff won 2 of the last 5
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18	Wrexham won 2 of the last 5
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Millwall won 1 of the last 5
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18	Bristol City won 1 of the last 5
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17	Bolton won 1 of the last 5
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17	Charlton won 1 of the last 5
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15	Watford won 2 of the last 5
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15	Lincoln won 1 of the last 5
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10	Burnley won 0 of the last 5
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10	Derby won 1 of the last 5
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8	Preston won 1 of the last 5