Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club prediction, stats and odds

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		Athletic Club
7	Played	6
2-2-3	W-D-L	2-2-2
1.14	Pts / game	1.33
1.57	Goals for / game	1.17
2.29	Goals against / game	1.00
71%	Over 2.5	33%
100%	BTTS	33%
0%	Clean sheets	50%
0%	Failed to score	33%
2-1-0	Home record	1-2-1
0-1-3	Away record	1-0-1
D1	Streak	D2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Rayo Vallecano · Athletic Club

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.5	Shots	24.0
2.0	Shots on target	6.0
3.5	Corners	5.0
3.50	Cards	2.00
11.5	Fouls	14.0
59	Possession %	69
1.27	xG	1.62
2 matches	sample	1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
14.5	Shots	2.0
4.0	Shots on target	0.0
4.5	Corners	1.0
3.00	Cards	0.00
18.0	Fouls	13.0
41	Possession %	31
1.01	xG	0.05
2 matches	sample	1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Rayo Vallecano	Metric	Athletic Club
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Rayo Vallecano wins: 0
Draws: 1
Athletic Club wins: 1
Goals / game: 1.50
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 50%

Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club1–12026-02-28
Athletic Club v Rayo Vallecano1–02025-08-25

La Liga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21	Barcelona won 5 of the last 5
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16	Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 5
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16	Real Betis won 3 of the last 5
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15	Real Madrid won 3 of the last 5
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13	Sevilla won 2 of the last 5
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	+5	11	Alaves won 2 of the last 5
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	+2	10	Deportivo La Coruna won 2 of the last 5
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10	Real Sociedad won 3 of the last 5
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8	Villarreal won 2 of the last 5
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8	Athletic Club won 2 of the last 5
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8	Getafe won 1 of the last 5
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8	Rayo Vallecano won 2 of the last 5
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8	Osasuna won 1 of the last 5
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7	Celta Vigo won 1 of the last 5
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7	Espanyol won 1 of the last 5
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7	Racing Santander won 2 of the last 5
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5	Levante won 1 of the last 5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5	Elche won 1 of the last 5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4	Valencia won 1 of the last 5
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3	Malaga won 0 of the last 5