Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Olympiakos Piraeus favoured against PAOK

Our model makes Olympiakos Piraeus 53% to win this Greek Super League fixture, with the draw at 28% and PAOK at 19%. The goal projection is 1.49 for Olympiakos Piraeus against 0.78 for PAOK — a substantial edge to Olympiakos Piraeus on expected output. A combined 2.27 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 40% and both teams to score at 43%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores

1-0 15%

1-1 13%

2-0 11%

0-0 11%

2-1 9%

This season

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Olympiakos Piraeus · PAOK

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Form comparison

Olympiakos Piraeus wins

0

Draws

2

PAOK wins

2

Goals / game

2.25

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

75%

• Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK1–12026-05-10
• PAOK v Olympiakos Piraeus3–12026-05-03
• Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK0–02026-03-08
• PAOK v Olympiakos Piraeus2–12025-10-05