Liverpool 3–0 Brighton

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Liverpool and Brighton
Liverpool		Brighton
6	Played	6
2-3-1	W-D-L	4-1-1
1.50	Pts / game	2.17
1.17	Goals for / game	3.00
1.17	Goals against / game	0.83
50%	Over 2.5	67%
33%	BTTS	33%
50%	Clean sheets	67%
33%	Failed to score	0%
0-2-1	Home record	2-1-0
2-1-0	Away record	2-0-1
L1	Streak	W3

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Liverpool · Brighton

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
12.5	Shots	15.0
4.5	Shots on target	4.5
4.0	Corners	5.0
3.00	Cards	3.00
16.0	Fouls	12.5
45	Possession %	39
1.33	xG	1.14
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.0	Shots	11.5
3.0	Shots on target	2.5
4.5	Corners	6.5
1.50	Cards	0.50
12.5	Fouls	9.5
56	Possession %	61
1.07	xG	0.68
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Liverpool	Metric	Brighton
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Liverpool wins: 2
Draws: 0
Brighton wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.67
Over 2.5: 67%
Both score: 33%

Brighton v Liverpool2–12026-03-21
Liverpool v Brighton3–02026-02-14
Liverpool v Brighton2–02025-12-13