CFR 1907 Cluj v 
Universitatea Craiova
- Over 1.5
- 74%
- Over 2.5
- 49%
- Over 3.5
- 27%
- Both score
- 53%
- Model pick
- Universitatea Craiova 45%
- Likely score
- 1-1 13%
- Expected goals
- 1.12 – 1.49
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
MembersEvery market, priced — members only
11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Universitatea Craiova favoured against CFR 1907 Cluj
Our model makes CFR 1907 Cluj 28% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 27% and Universitatea Craiova at 45%. The goal projection is 1.12 for CFR 1907 Cluj against 1.49 for Universitatea Craiova — a clear edge to Universitatea Craiova on expected output. A combined 2.62 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 1-1 13%
- 0-1 10%
- 1-2 9%
- 0-2 8%
- 0-0 8%
This season
| CFR 1907 Cluj | Universitatea Craiova | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 5-3-6 | W-D-L | 10-2-2 |
| 1.29 | Pts / game | 2.29 |
| 1.43 | Goals for / game | 2.43 |
| 1.50 | Goals against / game | 0.71 |
| 64% | Over 2.5 | 57% |
| 57% | BTTS | 36% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 57% |
| 21% | Failed to score | 7% |
| 3-2-1 | Home record | 7-0-1 |
| 2-1-5 | Away record | 3-2-1 |
| D2 | Streak | W7 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. CFR 1907 Cluj · Universitatea Craiova
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 10.0 | Shots | 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Shots on target | 7.3 |
| 3.2 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 2.40 | Cards | 1.25 |
| 11.8 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 36 | Possession % | 57 |
| 1.28 | xG | 2.09 |
| 5 matches | sample | 4 matches |
Conceded
| 21.8 | Shots | 7.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 1.8 |
| 7.2 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 3.00 | Cards | 1.83 |
| 8.8 | Fouls | 6.8 |
| 64 | Possession % | 43 |
| 1.77 | xG | 0.55 |
| 5 matches | sample | 4 matches |
Form comparison
| CFR 1907 Cluj | Metric | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored | 2.40 (better) |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded | 0.60 (better) |
| 0.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.01 (better) |
| Big chances | ||
| 2.67 | Shots on target | 7.50 (better) |
| 8.67 | Total shots | 17.25 (better) |
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| 3.00 | Corners | 4.00 (better) |
| 38.0 | Possession % | 47.0 (better) |
| 290 | Passes | 467 (better) |
| Tackles | ||
| 12.00 | Fouls | 9.00 (better) |
| 1.00 | Offsides | 0.75 (better) |
| Throw-ins | ||
| 2.67 | Yellow cards | 1.75 (better) |
| Red cards | 0.00 |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- CFR 1907 Cluj wins
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Universitatea Craiova wins
- 2
- Goals / game
- 2.25
- Over 2.5
- 25%
- Both score
- 50%
- CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova0–02026-05-08
- Universitatea Craiova v CFR 1907 Cluj2–02026-04-06
- Universitatea Craiova v CFR 1907 Cluj1–12025-12-07
- CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova2–32025-08-03
Romanian Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 33 | Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Universitatea Craiova | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +24 | 32 | Universitatea Craiova won 5 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Rapid | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +10 | 31 | Rapid won 3 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 | Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 26 | Universitatea Cluj won 2 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 24 | Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5 |
| 7 | FCSB | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 | FCSB won 3 of the last 5 |
| 8 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19 | Corvinul Hunedoara won 3 of the last 5 |
| 9 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 | CFR 1907 Cluj won 1 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 | Uta Arad won 2 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Arges Pitesti | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 | Arges Pitesti won 1 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -10 | 15 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 0 of the last 5 |
| 13 | FC Botosani | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 | FC Botosani won 1 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 12 | Oţelul won 0 of the last 5 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 8 | FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 6 | Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5 |