Belgium v Italy

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Members

Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Belgium and Italy
Belgium		Italy
4	Played	4
2-0-2	W-D-L	2-1-1
1.50	Pts / game	1.75
1.50	Goals for / game	2.00
1.25	Goals against / game	1.25
50%	Over 2.5	50%
25%	BTTS	75%
50%	Clean sheets	0%
25%	Failed to score	25%
1-0-1	Home record	1-0-1
1-0-1	Away record	1-1-0
L1	Streak	W1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Belgium · Italy

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
13.3	Shots	16.0
5.5	Shots on target	5.5
3.5	Corners	3.3
3.25	Cards	2.00
10.8	Fouls	13.5
42	Possession %	46
—	xG	—
4 matches	sample	4 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
21.3	Shots	16.5
7.3	Shots on target	6.0
6.0	Corners	7.3
1.50	Cards	2.50
9.3	Fouls	10.3
58	Possession %	55
—	xG	—
4 matches	sample	4 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Belgium	Metric	Italy
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Belgium wins: 1
Draws: 0
Italy wins: 0
Goals / game: 2.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Italy v Belgium0–22026-09-25