Sheffield Utd v Derby

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the marketMembers

Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Sheffield Utd and Derby
Sheffield Utd		Derby
10	Played	10
3-3-4	W-D-L	1-3-6
1.20	Pts / game	0.60
1.40	Goals for / game	0.90
1.40	Goals against / game	1.90
70%	Over 2.5	60%
60%	BTTS	60%
30%	Clean sheets	10%
30%	Failed to score	30%
2-1-2	Home record	0-2-3
1-2-2	Away record	1-1-3
L1	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Sheffield Utd · Derby

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
9.7	Shots	14.0
4.0	Shots on target	5.3
3.0	Corners	3.3
3.50	Cards	3.00
12.0	Fouls	10.7
42	Possession %	50
0.92	xG	0.79
3 matches	sample	3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
16.0	Shots	9.3
4.7	Shots on target	4.0
6.7	Corners	4.7
3.33	Cards	2.67
12.0	Fouls	8.3
58	Possession %	50
1.33	xG	1.69
3 matches	sample	3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Sheffield Utd	Metric	Derby
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Sheffield Utd wins: 1
Draws: 0
Derby wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.50
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Derby v Sheffield Utd1–22026-05-02
Sheffield Utd v Derby1–32025-11-01

Championship table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Swansea	10	7	2	1	+9	23	Swansea won 4 of the last 5
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	3	1	+6	21	Middlesbrough won 3 of the last 5
3	Southampton	10	6	2	2	+11	20	Southampton won 4 of the last 5
4	West Ham	10	5	4	1	+17	19	West Ham won 3 of the last 5
5	Birmingham	10	4	5	1	+6	17	Birmingham won 3 of the last 5
6	QPR	10	4	5	1	+6	17	QPR won 1 of the last 5
7	West Brom	10	5	2	3	+2	17	West Brom won 2 of the last 5
8	Stoke City	10	5	1	4	+1	16	Stoke City won 3 of the last 5
9	Blackburn	10	4	3	3	+2	15	Blackburn won 3 of the last 5
10	Wolves	9	4	2	3	+2	14	Wolves won 2 of the last 5
11	Millwall	10	4	2	4	0	14	Millwall won 1 of the last 5
12	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	-2	14	Bristol City won 1 of the last 5
13	Charlton	10	3	5	2	-3	14	Charlton won 0 of the last 5
14	Bolton	10	4	1	5	-3	13	Bolton won 3 of the last 5
15	Sheffield Utd	10	3	3	4	0	12	Sheffield Utd won 2 of the last 5
16	Portsmouth	9	3	2	4	-1	11	Portsmouth won 2 of the last 5
17	Wrexham	10	2	5	3	-4	11	Wrexham won 1 of the last 5
18	Lincoln	10	3	2	5	-10	11	Lincoln won 2 of the last 5
19	Cardiff	10	2	4	4	+1	10	Cardiff won 2 of the last 5
20	Norwich	10	3	0	7	-3	9	Norwich won 1 of the last 5
21	Burnley	10	1	5	4	-4	8	Burnley won 1 of the last 5
22	Watford	10	2	2	6	-11	8	Watford won 1 of the last 5
23	Derby	10	1	3	6	-10	6	Derby won 0 of the last 5
24	Preston	10	1	1	8	-12	4	Preston won 0 of the last 5