Remo v RB Bragantino

19th9th

22:30 UTC

Over 1.5: 70%
Over 2.5: 43%
Over 3.5: 22%
Both score: 49%

Model pick: RB Bragantino 39%
Likely score: 1-1 14%
Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.27

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the marketMembers

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11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.

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A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

RB Bragantino favoured against Remo

Our model makes Remo 32% to win this Brasileirão Série A fixture, with the draw at 29% and RB Bragantino at 39%. The goal projection is 1.12 for Remo against 1.27 for RB Bragantino — a slight edge to RB Bragantino on expected output. A combined 2.40 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 43% and both teams to score at 49%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 14%; 0-1 11%; 0-0 10%; 1-0 9%; 1-2 8%

This season

Season records for Remo and RB Bragantino
Remo		RB Bragantino
30	Played	30
5-10-15	W-D-L	11-7-12
0.83	Pts / game	1.33
1.10	Goals for / game	1.27
1.60	Goals against / game	1.17
50%	Over 2.5	40%
60%	BTTS	53%
13%	Clean sheets	27%
33%	Failed to score	23%
3-6-6	Home record	7-3-5
2-4-9	Away record	4-4-7
D2	Streak	W1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Remo · RB Bragantino

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
16.0	Shots	22.8
6.0	Shots on target	7.8
7.5	Corners	8.3
2.50	Cards	1.50
13.0	Fouls	11.3
50	Possession %	49
0.31	xG	2.68
2 matches	sample	4 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.0	Shots	13.0
5.0	Shots on target	6.0
5.0	Corners	4.0
3.00	Cards	1.75
17.0	Fouls	10.8
51	Possession %	51
0.92	xG	2.80
2 matches	sample	4 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Remo	Metric	RB Bragantino
0.60	Goals scored	1.00 (better)
1.20 (better)	Goals conceded	1.60
0.74	Expected goals (xG)	1.24 (better)
	Big chances
4.00	Shots on target	7.80 (better)
13.40	Total shots	22.00 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
6.60	Corners	7.80 (better)
44.2	Possession %	50.4 (better)
417 (better)	Passes	406
	Tackles
11.20	Fouls	10.60 (better)
1.40	Offsides	0.60 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.20	Yellow cards	1.40 (better)
0.50	Red cards	0.33 (better)

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Remo wins: 0
Draws: 0
RB Bragantino wins: 1
Goals / game: 6.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

RB Bragantino v Remo4–22026-04-19

Brasileirão Série A table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	30	19	7	4	+33	64	Flamengo won 4 of the last 5
2	Palmeiras	30	18	9	3	+30	63	Palmeiras won 3 of the last 5
3	Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	+14	53	Atletico Paranaense won 2 of the last 5
4	Fluminense	30	14	9	7	+11	51	Fluminense won 3 of the last 5
5	Bahia	30	13	10	7	+8	49	Bahia won 3 of the last 5
6	Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	+2	48	Cruzeiro won 3 of the last 5
7	Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	+6	47	Atletico-MG won 3 of the last 5
8	Santos	30	11	9	10	+1	42	Santos won 3 of the last 5
9	RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	+3	40	RB Bragantino won 1 of the last 5
10	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	0	39	Sao Paulo won 2 of the last 5
11	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	-10	39	Coritiba won 0 of the last 5
12	Botafogo	30	9	9	12	-5	36	Botafogo won 1 of the last 5
13	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	-11	36	Vitoria won 2 of the last 5
14	Vasco DA Gama	29	9	8	12	-6	35	Vasco DA Gama won 3 of the last 5
15	Mirassol	30	8	9	13	-10	33	Mirassol won 2 of the last 5
16	Internacional	30	7	11	12	-5	32	Internacional won 2 of the last 5
17	Corinthians	30	8	8	14	-7	32	Corinthians won 0 of the last 5
18	Gremio	30	7	10	13	-8	31	Gremio won 0 of the last 5
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	-15	25	Remo won 0 of the last 5
20	Chapecoense-sc	29	3	9	17	-31	18	Chapecoense-sc won 1 of the last 5