Predicted Edge

Portugal U19 v Austria U19

Portugal U19 won 1 of the last 1Austria U19 won 1 of the last 1
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
48%
Both score
69%
Model pick
Portugal U19 45%
Likely score
1-1 9%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.63

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the marketFree

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultPortugal U1944.7%2.24———
Match resultDraw22.9%4.36———
Match resultAustria U1932.4%3.09———
Total goalsOver 1.587.5%1.14———
Total goalsUnder 1.512.5%8.03———
Total goalsOver 2.569.0%1.45———
Total goalsUnder 2.531.0%3.22———
Total goalsOver 3.547.6%2.10———
Total goalsUnder 3.552.4%1.91———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes69.2%1.44———
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No30.8%3.25———

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Premium markets

No premium selection on this fixture yet
  • Asian handicap
  • Total goals

The model prices these markets for every fixture. Where a price clears the value threshold, patrons see the selection, the advised price and bookmaker, the stake in units and the reasoning behind it.

Portugal U19 favoured against Austria U19

Our model makes Portugal U19 45% to win this Friendlies fixture, with the draw at 23% and Austria U19 at 32%. The goal projection is 1.93 for Portugal U19 against 1.63 for Austria U19 — a clear edge to Portugal U19 on expected output. A combined 3.56 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 69% and both teams to score at 69%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 9%
2-1 9%
1-2 7%
2-2 7%
3-1 6%

This season

Season records for Portugal U19 and Austria U19
Portugal U19 Austria U19
1Played1
1-0-0W-D-L1-0-0
3.00Pts / game3.00
6.00Goals for / game1.00
1.00Goals against / game0.00
100%Over 2.50%
100%BTTS0%
0%Clean sheets100%
0%Failed to score0%
1-0-0Home record1-0-0
0-0-0Away record0-0-0
W1StreakW1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Portugal U19 · Austria U19

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Portugal U19MetricAustria U19
0.60Goals scored2.40 (better)
1.60Goals conceded0.60 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

No previous meetings on record.