Predicted Edge

Chelsea v Manchester City

0–1ChelseaChelsea won 2 of the last 510thManchester CityManchester City won 5 of the last 51st

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the marketFree

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Chelsea and Manchester City
Chelsea Manchester City
5Played5
2-1-2W-D-L5-0-0
1.40Pts / game3.00
2.00Goals for / game2.60
2.40Goals against / game1.00
100%Over 2.560%
80%BTTS60%
0%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score0%
1-1-0Home record3-0-0
1-0-2Away record2-0-0
L1StreakW5

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Chelsea · Manchester City

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
12.0Shots16.0
2.0Shots on target6.0
12.0Corners6.0
0.00Cards0.00
7.0Fouls14.0
60Possession %55
—xG2.82
1 matchessample1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
13.0Shots17.0
6.0Shots on target9.0
4.0Corners5.0
2.00Cards1.00
10.0Fouls14.0
40Possession %45
—xG3.57
1 matchessample1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
ChelseaMetricManchester City
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Chelsea wins
0
Draws
1
Manchester City wins
2
Goals / game
2.00
Over 2.5
33%
Both score
33%