Predicted Edge

Barcelona v Real Madrid

Barcelona won 5 of the last 51stReal Madrid won 3 of the last 54th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the marketMembers

Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Barcelona and Real Madrid
Barcelona Real Madrid
8Played8
8-0-0W-D-L6-0-2
3.00Pts / game2.25
4.25Goals for / game2.38
0.88Goals against / game1.00
88%Over 2.575%
50%BTTS63%
50%Clean sheets25%
0%Failed to score13%
4-0-0Home record4-0-0
4-0-0Away record2-0-2
W8StreakW1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Barcelona · Real Madrid

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
25.7Shots13.0
8.0Shots on target3.7
10.0Corners5.0
1.67Cards4.00
10.0Fouls7.3
74Possession %43
4.06xG1.79
3 matchessample3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
5.3Shots14.7
2.3Shots on target5.3
1.0Corners2.7
2.33Cards2.67
11.3Fouls17.7
26Possession %57
0.85xG1.25
3 matchessample3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
BarcelonaMetricReal Madrid
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Barcelona wins
2
Draws
0
Real Madrid wins
1
Goals / game
3.33
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
67%
La Liga table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1Barcelona8800+2724Barcelona won 5 of the last 5
2Atletico Madrid8611+1019Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 5
3Real Betis8611+519Real Betis won 4 of the last 5
4Real Madrid8602+1118Real Madrid won 3 of the last 5
5Sevilla8422+114Sevilla won 2 of the last 5
6Real Sociedad8413-313Real Sociedad won 3 of the last 5
7Alaves8323+411Alaves won 1 of the last 5
8Deportivo La Coruna8242+110Deportivo La Coruna won 1 of the last 5
9Celta Vigo8152+28Celta Vigo won 1 of the last 5
10Athletic Club6222+18Athletic Club won 2 of the last 5
11Villarreal822408Villarreal won 2 of the last 5
12Espanyol822408Espanyol won 1 of the last 5
13Rayo Vallecano7223-58Rayo Vallecano won 2 of the last 5
14Getafe8224-68Getafe won 1 of the last 5
15Racing Santander8224-108Racing Santander won 1 of the last 5
16Osasuna8224-108Osasuna won 0 of the last 5
17Levante7133-46Levante won 1 of the last 5
18Elche8134-66Elche won 1 of the last 5
19Valencia8125-95Valencia won 1 of the last 5
20Malaga8044-94Malaga won 0 of the last 5