Predicted Edge

FSV Mainz 05 v Fiorentina

2–1FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of the last 46thFiorentinaFiorentina won 1 of the last 517th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for FSV Mainz 05 and Fiorentina
FSV Mainz 05 Fiorentina
4Played5
2-1-1W-D-L1-1-3
1.75Pts / game0.80
2.50Goals for / game1.20
1.50Goals against / game2.40
75%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS60%
50%Clean sheets0%
25%Failed to score40%
0-1-1Home record0-1-2
2-0-0Away record1-0-1
W1StreakD1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. FSV Mainz 05 · Fiorentina

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.0Shots17.0
8.0Shots on target4.0
4.0Corners4.0
5.00Cards3.00
14.0Fouls11.0
53Possession %42
2.82xG1.14
1 matchessample1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
21.0Shots13.0
7.0Shots on target5.0
6.0Corners5.0
6.00Cards0.00
12.0Fouls9.0
47Possession %58
3.24xG1.40
1 matchessample1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
FSV Mainz 05MetricFiorentina
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

FSV Mainz 05 wins
1
Draws
0
Fiorentina wins
0
Goals / game
3.00
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
100%