Predicted Edge

Casa Pia v Arouca

3–2Casa PiaCasa Pia won 1 of the last 517thAroucaArouca won 1 of the last 55th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Casa Pia and Arouca
Casa Pia Arouca
7Played7
1-1-5W-D-L3-2-2
0.57Pts / game1.57
0.43Goals for / game1.43
2.29Goals against / game1.00
43%Over 2.557%
29%BTTS43%
14%Clean sheets43%
71%Failed to score29%
0-0-3Home record2-0-1
1-1-2Away record1-2-1
W1StreakD1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Casa Pia · Arouca

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Conceded

No full-match statistics on record yet this season.

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Casa PiaMetricArouca
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Casa Pia wins
2
Draws
0
Arouca wins
0
Goals / game
3.50
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
50%
Primeira Liga table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1FC Porto7700+1521FC Porto won 5 of the last 5
2Benfica7511+1516Benfica won 4 of the last 5
3Sporting CP7430+915Sporting CP won 3 of the last 5
4Santa Clara7430+715Santa Clara won 3 of the last 5
5Arouca7322+311Arouca won 1 of the last 5
6SC Braga6321+211SC Braga won 3 of the last 5
7Academico Viseu7322011Academico Viseu won 3 of the last 5
8Estrela7241010Estrela won 2 of the last 5
9GIL Vicente622208GIL Vicente won 1 of the last 5
10Alverca7223-28Alverca won 2 of the last 5
11Maritimo7223-48Maritimo won 0 of the last 5
12Moreirense7223-68Moreirense won 2 of the last 5
13Famalicao7142+27Famalicao won 1 of the last 5
14Vitória SC7124-35Vitória SC won 1 of the last 5
15Nacional7115-84Nacional won 0 of the last 5
16Rio Ave7115-104Rio Ave won 1 of the last 5
17Casa Pia7115-134Casa Pia won 1 of the last 5
18Estoril7025-72Estoril won 0 of the last 5